So… What Happened in Ohio?

H/T Scissorhead Jimmy-T

In today’s Q&A over at Electoral-Vote, a reader asks:

J.T. in Greensboro, NC, asks: If a candidate like Tim Ryan is losing handily to a candidate like J.D. Vance it suggests to me that Ohio is—like Florida—lost to the Democrats for the foreseeable future.

At this point would it be fair to say that Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) is simply Ohio’s answer to Joe Manchin: a Democrat who seems to possess a unique set of traits and skills that allows him to win against the grain in a state Democrats otherwise have no shot in?

V & Z answer: Maybe so. Certainly, if Brown decides to retire, it will be very unhappy news for the Democrats.

That said, let’s not draw too many conclusions from Ryan’s lack of success. We have spoken to a few people in Ohio, and the Representative ran a very right-wing campaign. To put a finer point on it, Ryan basically ran as a normal Republican, with the idea that normal Republicans, independents, and Democrats would all vote for him. It did not work, of course, in part because Ohio Democrats had few other races to get them to the polls, and many of them were not especially motivated to turn out for a Democrat who seems to disdain Democrats.

This is what we said was going to happen, it happened. I’m still waiting for the cross tabs on who voted. I still bet he lost the Yutes of Today:

That might be because Gen Z’s allegiance is to issues, not to specific political parties or candidates, said Kenisha Mahajan, a 17-year-old advocate for political and community engagement. Gen Zers are most motivated by candidates who plan to address climate change, gun violence, reproductive rights, racial justice and LGBTQ rights, activists and candidates say. Mahajan cited as an example the defeat of Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.), the chair of the Democratic National Campaign Committee, who, she said, didn’t appeal to the youth vote.

“Complacency and the bare minimum is not enough,” she said.

That article I keep pointing to in Vanity Fair concludes thusly:

Speaking of the big picture: Belcher has earned the final word. The larger trend he points to from the midterms is generational. “There really are two electorates,” he says, “one older and one younger, fighting to take this country in very different directions.” For instance: The youngs helped save Fetterman in Pennsylvania, and the olds dominated for Ron DeSantis in Florida. Abortion rights have intense relevance to voters in their 20s and 30s, as does climate change and student loans and threats to democracy and racism. There will be a great deal of turmoil in the next two years that scrambles the dynamic. But in 2024 Joe Biden will be the oldest president to ever run for reelection—and to win, he’ll need to make sure younger Democratic voters keep showing up.

This rings of truth: as the Baby Boomers influence wanes, the Yutes are rising, and they appear to be ready to make their influence felt. I think we’d be mistaken to expect them to come to us, I think we need to go to them. There’s no reason their issues cannot be ours; in fact, they should be.

(Or maybe we can just raise the voting age to 50. [it’s satire, don’t freak out!])

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3 Responses to So… What Happened in Ohio?

  1. Who tha fuck wants to vote for “Republican lite”

    Liked by 2 people

  2. w3ski4me says:

    If the Democrats don’t actively pursue the youth vote, they will have no chance to win. It’s not an either-or kind of thing. I was excited to get to vote after helping force a change to allow us 18-year-olds a chance. Kinda dumb that a President you didn’t vote for could send your ass to war, and you had no say in the matter. We need to somehow give the utes of today that kind of novelty and power in voting. That said, I have no idea how to make that happen.

    Liked by 1 person

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