Horserace News: And Coming ‘round the Bend…

Horse Race Reporting: Comin’ round the bend…

Tiger Beat on the Potomac (thanks Charlie) afternoon email thingie helpfully tells us:

POLLS OF THE DAY — Two new Pennsylvania surveys paint two different pictures: Franklin & Marshall College finds Lt. Gov. JOHN FETTERMAN trouncing Oz 43% to 30% and Democratic AG JOSH SHAPIRO beating GOP state Sen. DOUG MASTRIANO 44% to 33% in the gubernatorial race. But Emerson’s poll has Fetterman up just 4 points, 48% to 44%, and Shapiro up 3, 47% to 44%.

I’ve never hear of the Franklin & Marshall College poll which appears to be a Pennsylvania specialist from a small private college. Chances are good that they know the state well, but I’m not as sure as to their history; however, the Emerson poll also has both Democrats ahead, but why a smaller number within the margin of error.  Gonna go out on the limb and say the truth is probably somewhere between the two numbers, and ya mugs don’t expect better Hot Takes than that, right? “Worth every penny,” says I.

As I don’t believe much in polling as prediction (at best it is a snapshot in time), the very next polling item cracked me up:

NOT THE POLL OF THE DAY — A Connecticut high school student pranked Mastriano by tweeting a fake poll that showed him ahead of Shapiro — and Mastriano and JENNA ELLIS left their tweets up about the survey for days even after the hoax became clear, the Philly Inquirer’s Chris Brennan reports. The student said he did it to “test a theory about a ‘double standard’ for polling and political parties. His hypothesis: Republicans attack the credibility of established polling firms that release surveys with results they don’t like but take seriously and push polls even if they ‘don’t seem legitimate.’”

It doesn’t take much to fool ‘em into believing what they want to believe.

This entry was posted in 2022 Pie Fight, Dr. Oz, John Fetterman. Bookmark the permalink.

1 Response to Horserace News: And Coming ‘round the Bend…

  1. Martin Pollard says:

    Simon & Garfunkel nailed Trumpist thinking so clearly (“A man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest”), didn’t they?

    Liked by 3 people

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