As yesterday’s political ruling on abortion from John Roberts’ illegitimate and highly political SCOTUS continues to reverberate, it’s now time to consider the politics of this.
My immediate thought is that:
- John Roberts has lost control. Expect more bullshit from the SCOTUS as they are going to make the most damage they can in the time they have, for UNPACKING the court is sure to follow. (Please use #UnpackTheCourt as your hashtag as surely the court is already packed. Put the responsibility where it belongs on the GOP.)
- Republicans in general and the SCOTUS in particular have overreached and there will be a reckoning. Between the theocratic rulings (religious schools and now forced birth) and guns (everyone can pack whatever heat they want and states cannot do a damn thing about it), they’ve hit a lot of nerves that were already jangling. This could make a blue wave. If I’m right, it’s not just that they have lost women as a constituency, they’ve lost the suburbs.
- When medicine gets politicized, the doctors will be put between the ol’ rock and their Hippocratic oath. When doctors start to be arrested, other doctors will not move into Red States to take their place. There is going to be a brain-drain, despite what Josh Hawley thinks as smart people realize that the big property/house in Possum Hollar isn’t worth the bargain price when women are incubators and healthcare is rare. If I were Apple (for instance), I would be making plans to close that facility in Texas because you will never get smart employees to move to a feudal state.
- Rage is good. Anger is better. Whatever you were feeling yesterday (after the despair wore off), SUSTAIN IT. All of us need to talk to our Facebook Rage Uncles and remind them of their nieces/daughters/granddaughters/god-daughters/wives/sisters and the world that they are about to be forced to inherit; from the moment of fertilization, women no long have any rights. Make the suburban men angry too.
President Handsome Joe Biden had something to say:
“This fall, Roe is on the ballot. Personal freedoms are on the ballot. The right to privacy, liberty, equality, they’re all on the ballot.”
I’m generally not one to do the messaging police, but it would be better if Joe did a straight-forward ask: Give us the House and at least two more Democratic senators, and we’ll restore the right to abortion in January 2023.
Axios’s morning email thingie has an update on what is actually happening on the ground in Possum Hollar:
- Clinics in Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming have either shut their doors or been instructed by state officials to do so.
And then the betting pools we saw about what changed from the leaked version is addressed:
The final ruling is extremely similar to the leaked draft Politico obtained last month, and its core reasoning didn’t budge.
- The Constitution can be interpreted to protect some rights that it doesn’t specifically mention, Justice Samuel Alito wrote — but only in rare cases, and only when they are deeply entrenched in the history at the time of the founding.
- Details on changes.
And predictions about the future:
The conservatives are divided. The core holding is the core holding — the federal right to an abortion is gone. But the six conservative justices handed down a total of four opinions to articulate the differences in their thinking.
- Chief Justice John Roberts wrote a separate opinion to say the court had gone too far, and should not have overturned its precedents entirely.
- Justice Clarence Thomas said the court should go even further, and consider overturning precedents that protect rights to contraception and same-sex marriage.
Justice Brett Kavanaugh weighed in to say that while he did not think yesterday’s ruling went too far, he did not share Thomas’ view of how it should affect other precedents.
- “[M]ay a State bar a resident of that State from traveling to another State to obtain an abortion?” Kavanaugh wrote. “In my view, the answer is no based on the constitutional right to interstate travel.”
The Virgin Mayor of Keg City seems to have forgotten that just a day before he said that, that a woman had a constitutional right to an abortion, too.
They’ve shown us a preview of coming attractions.
Some smart reactions:
And that last tweet is the future. When someone tells you who they are, believe them the first time.