Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson Confirmation to the Supreme Court Starts Today

Today the process to confirm Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court, and the betting window wagers that the Republicans on the Senate Judiciary Committee will unanimously oppose her nomination. Even at 50:50 her nomination will move to the full Senate where she will win.

Tiger Beat explains the arcane Inside Baseball / Kabuki Theater, if you are interested:

THE FINAL SCOTUS STRETCH — The White House and Senate Democrats expect Biden’sSupreme Court nominee, KETANJI BROWN JACKSON, to be confirmed by the end of this week. The final two Republicans still in play, Sens. MITT ROMNEY (Utah) and LISA MURKOWSKI (Alaska), could announce how they plan to vote as soon as today.

Clinching a new Supreme Court justice is a big moment for any president. But given the historic nature of Jackson’s nomination, this will be an even bigger deal for Biden.

Jackson is still making the rounds with senators she hasn’t yet met one on one. In the meantime, the Judiciary Committee will take up the nomination this morning, with a full panel vote expected by day’s end.

How it’ll work … At 10 a.m., Chair DICK DURBIN (D-Ill.) and ranking member CHUCK GRASSLEY (R-Iowa) will give opening statements. Then senators will talk — for many hours — about Jackson’s nomination.

Aides say they’re anticipating a full day since there are few rules to limit debate in committee. Demcrats and Jackson allies have been preparing for Republicans to bring up the largely refuted attack on Jackson’s record on child pornography cases. As one committee aide put it Sunday night: “I would anticipate that being a very central topic of debate.”

How it’ll shake out … Aides expect a tied vote in committee, which would force Majority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER to file a motion to bring the nomination to the Senate floor with four hours of debate.

That discharge vote by the full Senate is expected late today, and it could reveal how the final vote will go — i.e. if Romney and Murkowski haven’t announced their positions by then, their vote could provide a strong clue.

Senate aides are expecting Schumer to file cloture Tuesday, triggering up to 30 hours of debate on the nomination. We’re told final confirmation could come as early as Thursday.

How it will play in the midterms … Saddled by Biden’s low poll numbers and a stalled social change agenda, Democratic strategists are eager to point to Jackson’s confirmation as a bona fide achievement heading into the election.

Reason for skepticism … The Supreme Court hasn’t been a big motivator for Democratic voters in recent election cycles. But Democratic officials are hopeful a number of things will change that: DONALD TRUMP’s engineering of a 6-3 conservative majority, the ensuing threat to abortion rights and, after this week, base enthusiasm about the first Black woman joining the court.

Have your Quatloos ready and place your bets in the comments. And remember: you are betting on Willard having a spine and Murksowski’s political calculus in a re-election year.

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3 Responses to Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson Confirmation to the Supreme Court Starts Today

  1. genelms says:

    “DONALD TRUMP’s engineering of a 6-3 conservative majority”

    I really wish our press, such as it is, would stop referring to the court this way. This is Moscow Mitch’s Reichwing court. TFG had no part other than lie about their qualifications and rubber stamp the fascist judges.

    Liked by 3 people

  2. Jimmy T says:

    And of course the committee deadlocked (11-11) on the vote because a single Democrat got stuck on a return flight that made an emergency landing. So no Republicans voted for her. Telling isn’t it?

    Liked by 2 people

  3. genelms says:

    I’m gonna bet on 50-49. Sinema will have a Pharma sponsored fund-raiser to attend and will miss the vote. Willard will vote yes, and Collins will develop a case of concern and vote the way Mitch tells her to vote.

    Liked by 1 person

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