Here’s a lede in Tiger Beat on the Potomac (thanks Charlie!) that I never thought I’d see:
Democrats running for Senate are still holding their fire in primaries. Republicans are stuck in the Thunderdome.
GOP candidates are already pummeling each other in monthslong advertising free-for-alls, fights intensified by unprecedented television spending. The parties’ approaches in money spent and messaging could hardly be more different so far, as is the mere number of contested races: For Republicans, there are more than a dozen states where GOP candidates are attacking each other in bids for Senate nominations, while Democrats have unresolved primaries in just two key states — neither of which have turned vicious yet.
As regular readers know, Tiger Beat has been unabashedly promoting that the Left are going to lose all the races because, you know, no one likes us: Democrats are too divisive, too focused woke issues, and too preachy.
The difference is especially pronounced in Pennsylvania. As the Democratic frontrunners Lt. Gov. John Fetterman and Rep. Conor Lamb run ads arguing why they can win in one of the nation’s top battleground states, GOP candidates there have dropped a record-shattering $35 million on TV — the vast majority coming from Mehmet Oz and Dave McCormick, the leading Republicans, whose camps are framing the other as a “liberal RINO” and “Wall Street insider,” respectively.
Ooooh, that’s great: the GOP has now defined both their carpetbagger candidates (neither live in Pennsylvania!) for us and spent $35M Ameros doing it. The DSCC, Connor Lamb, and John Fetterman should send them a thank-you note. A fruit basket would be nice.
Now add onto that Rick Scott’s party platform that calls for a tax increase on everyone and killing Social Security and Medicare, and well, now we’re cooking with gas.
“I think there is a lot of room for error for Republicans here — as evidenced by the fact that the chairman of the [NRSC] can put together a plan that raises taxes and eliminates Social Security, and everyone says, ‘Oh it doesn’t matter, we’re going to win anyway,’” said a Republican strategist involved in Senate races, who was granted anonymity to discuss internal party dynamics.
Overconfidence is how you get stuck in the tree.
Another GOP operative familiar with Senate campaigns, who also spoke on condition of anonymity, pointed to ways Republicans have made it harder on themselves this cycle — the recruiting losses, failing to clear primary fields, bickering over a party platform and attacking each other in top swing states while Democrats tell their own stories.
Anyway, don’t blow it Dem Senate candidates, the Republicans are doing the heavy lifting for us right now.