Prediction: Good News For John McCain!

Guys, today’s the day! Will California keep Gov. Newsom or elect an opposite-world Lord Damp Nut knock-off, Larry Elder? If you are a junkie, watch for the big population centers in Southern California for the votes to come in, especially Los Angeles County.

We are gonna make an educated guess here that Newsom will win in pretty much landslide fashion, gonna guess it will be somewhere near 60% of the votes.

Some numbers from the ballots:

4,509,992 Democratic ballots
2,233,539 Republican ballots
1,979,423 Independent/third party ballots


8,722,954 Total ballots

And now the polling:

88% of Democrats want to keep Newsome
85% of Republicans want to throw him out
53% of independents/third-party voters want to keep him

If those numbers hold,

3,968,793 D votes are Newsom’s (88% of the 4M+)
1,049,094 I votes are Newsom’s (53% of the 1.9M+)


5,0178,887 Are likely Newsom’s.

Allegedly 15% of the Republicans want to keep him, too, so that 2M+ number will be smaller. My guess is that Newsome will lap the recall total.

Second wager: no matter how decisively the vote goes (for Newsom), Hair Füror et al will claim voter fraud.

Third wager: no matter what Newsom’s victory is, Politico (and the elite DC Media) will spin it as Good New For John McCain! and tell us why Joe Biden is doomed.

Wagers accepted in the comments, Quatloos only.

UPDATE 1: Not that it was hard, but it looks like we got a two-fer:

Larry Elder prepares for California recall loss with lawyers, voter fraud website

UPDATE 2: I should have included this twitter thread in the original post:

If you know Cali politics, she nails it.

This entry was posted in Vote Suppression, voting. Bookmark the permalink.

8 Responses to Prediction: Good News For John McCain!

  1. beckymaenot says:

    They are already claiming fraud #rigged. It’s disgusting.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. osirisopto says:

    Oh, and lest I forget…

    Liked by 1 person

  3. laura says:

    Dr. Shirely Weber, CA’s Secretary of State does not suffer fools gladly and I look forward to her putting all this clown shown rigged election nonsense in the bin toot de suite. Republicans cant run on tax cuts for rich fuckers and so they can only win by cheating and projecting their skivey conduct on the other party. And Larry Elder, wow what a perfectly emblematic typical republican candidate.

    Liked by 2 people

  4. roket says:

    I look forward to hearing the following republican voter excuse: “I couldn’t vote because they were going to make me wear a MASK!!11!!”

    Liked by 1 person

  5. They’re not only already claiming fraud, Elder is already threatening ‘Second Amendment Solutions’ to the “problem”.

    “Don’t make me hit you, bitch!”

    As predicted the GQP will not address unpopularity in a (small-d)emocratic system by changing their positions and policies, they’ll abandon democracy.

    And that has been their explicit goal since incorporating the white supremacist theocratic fascists into their ranks in the 70s.

    Liked by 2 people

  6. Big Bad Bald Bastard says:

    Newsom vs Noisome

    Liked by 2 people

  7. Richard Portman says:

    Shenanigans. It seems to be a popular word with Republicans these days. I was traveling through Kanab last week and the local fascist thug had billboards saying “Stop the Shenanigans!”
    It must be something they saw on Fox News.
    I feel sorry for that poor old word, to be kidnapped and sold in to slavery.

    Liked by 2 people

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