There’s all sorts of analysis of the insane proclamation from Hair Füror that he will be reinstated as prznint sometime this year, probably August. Our pals at Electoral-Vote have identified 4 possibilities ranked from most likely to least:
- It’s a(nother) grift: Despite what Cooke says [Ed: Cooke’s editorial at the National Review –TG], this is the most likely explanation. Undoubtedly, with Trump somewhat out of sight and out of mind (in remission?), the fundraising take has fallen way off. Obviously, the failed blog did little to help reverse that. And his e-mails to supporters these days are carefully written so that his presidential status is present-tense, and not just past tense. So, maybe this is just the latest gimmick, and when we get to August he moves on to something else to separate followers from their dollars, or he claims it’s going to take another three months to be reinstated.
- The cheese is slipping off the cracker: Mary Trump’s book asserted something that everyone already suspected: Donald has psychological issues. Maybe she’s wrong, since she did not examine him in a professional context (he would never submit to that, with her or anyone else). However, let’s be honest, she’s right. There’s something wrong there. And after spending four years behaving in ways that were often odd or erratic, he’s now six months older and has suffered a great (for him) trauma: losing the election. Oh, he’s also getting closer and closer to an indictment and possible prison time. Anyhow, it could be that his grip on reality is slipping badly.
- It’s a put on: This is rather conspiratorial, but it’s also not impossible, and we’re a full-service political analysis site, so here goes. Again, Trump appears to be badly exposed on a number of legal fronts. And, of course, 99.999% of us are watching this from the cheap seats. Trump and his inner circle are in the .001% that has a much fuller picture, and so they may know that the reality is even worse than it looks. One way to delay (or avoid) a trial (or a prison sentence) is mental or physical unfitness. We are very doubtful that someone as vain as Trump would allow his attorneys to go into court and argue that he’s mentally impaired. But desperate times sometimes call for desperate measures.
- The coup is coming: This is the grimmest possibility. Everyone knows that the Arizona audit, and probably the Georgia audit, are going to come back with the finding that Trump actually won those states. Similarly Trump, and many of his enablers in the GOP, have become truly Machiavellian in their approach to gaining power: the ends justify whatever means are necessary. Maybe, once Trump gets the “news” from Arizona and Georgia, he declares that he is president again, and begins acting accordingly, issuing executive orders and the like. If so, a lot of Republican officeholders are suddenly going to have a very interesting choice to make.
All of which are reasonable possibilities, but someone who deeply knows him has another take: Hair Füror is trying to threaten (the DOJ?) violence to forestall his likely indictment(s):
Abramson’s take seems plausible to me, too and could be #1 or #2 in my ranking, and isn’t that what he already attempted with The Stupid Coup? Lie to your mouth-breathers in Possum Hollar to channel their disappointment into rage. He did it once, he could do it again.
Other hot takes:
Bloomberg: Trump’s Planned Return Isn’t Really a Joke
“…It’s quite possible that Trump doesn’t realize what he’s proposing is flat-out illegal. That is, the choice Masket is posing is no choice at all: What Trump claims will happen, an extra-legal seizure of power, would be a coup regardless of whether he’s delusional or not. And we don’t even have to explore what he really thinks; as Benjy Sarlin points out, “What’s definitely true is he ACTS on conspiracy theories as if they were real.”
We’ve been saying for a while (and we know this is true for Republicans generally) that if you do not punish them for the crimes they commit, Republicans will do it again. More explicitly, by voting down the Insurrection Commission, the Coup Klux Klan has empowered Trump to try again: