One of the (many) things that has been bugging me as we head into the January 5 run-off elections in the Great Stet of Georgeduh is how do these things effect would-be Senate Majority Leader amply be-chinned Mitch McConnell.
The 20th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution states
Section 1. The terms of the President and Vice President shall end at noon on the 20th day of January, and the terms of Senators and Representatives at noon on the 3d day of January, of the years in which such terms would have ended if this article had not been ratified; and the terms of their successors shall then begin.
Section 2. The Congress shall assemble at least once in every year, and such meeting shall begin at noon on the 3d day of January, unless they shall by law appoint a different day.
Section 1 says that the term of the new Congress begins on January 3rd, but that is not the same thing as actually meeting and being sworn in. Section 2 makes January 3rd the default date for that to happen, but also allows that date to be changed by law. It won’t happen and here’s the reason why:
- There are 46 Democrats +2 Independent, and 52 Republican senators, currently
- January 3 there will be: 46 Democrats, 2 Independent, 51 Republicans and 1 seat vacant.
- January 3: The election for the Senate Majority Leader for the 117th Congress (which runs January 3, 2021, to January 3, 2023).
- January 5: the run-off Senate elections in Georgeduh. At some point the winners are sworn in, but we do not yet know who or what parties they belong to.
- January 20: Kamala Harris is sworn in as the new Vice President and presumably her Democratic replacement will be sworn in.
What I am getting at is that it is possible that #MoscowMitch might be the Senate Majority leader in which his party is not the majority. The Senate is tied if Georgeduh turns blue, and I suppose VP Mike ‘Lord of the Flies’ Pence would have to break the tie vote in his role as the President of the Senate. If the Senate was sworn in on the 20th, it would be entirely different, as VP Kamala Harris would be the tie-breaker.
With an evenly split Senate means is that every senator becomes a king-maker. It only takes one Senator switching sides on any vote. Susan Collins of Joe Manchin would suddenly become relevant, for instance. ** shudders **
These are the things that keep me up at night.