Good News-Bad News-Wild Conjecture

H/T Scissorhead Skinny-D

We got good news and bad news:

With nine days before Election Day, more people already have cast ballots in this year’s presidential election than voted early or absentee in the 2016 race as the start of in-person early voting in big states led to a surge in turnout in recent days…

The result is a total of 58.6 million ballots cast so far, more than the 58 million that The Associated Press logged as being cast through the mail or at in-person early voting sites in 2016.

Democrats have continued to dominate the initial balloting, but Republicans are narrowing the gap. GOP voters have begun to show up as early in-person voting, a sign that many heeded President Donald Trump’s unfounded warnings about mail-voting fraud.

But even the bad news (Republicans showing up to do in-person early voting) has a silver lining as the Trump-Virus rounds the corner and goes, “IN YOUR FACE, TEAM EVIL!”

As much as I don’t like thinking about the damn ‘Rona killing us, the simple truth is that some people (mostly Republicans, it seems) who planned on in-person voting (to own the Libs!) are maybe gonna think twice about it now that Possum Hollar is raging with cases.

Lord Damp Nut can bray as loud as he wants about rounding the corner, but if what is waiting for you on the other side is death’s jolly old sting, maybe Possum Hollar might sit this one out.

UPDATE 1: Axios is thinking along the same lines!

The swing states where the pandemic is raging

Several states that are likely to decide which party controls Washington next year have exceptionally large coronavirus outbreaks or are seeing cases spike.

Why it matters: Most voters have already made up their minds. But for those few holdouts, the state of the pandemic could ultimately help them make a decision as they head to the polls — and that’s not likely to help President Trump…

Details: Wisconsin and Montana have the largest outbreaks of all states with close Senate races or that are competitive in the presidential election.

  • Maine — where Sen. Susan Collins is fighting to keep her seat — is the best off by far, with a low per capita case count that isn’t growing very quickly.
  • Florida, which has the most Electoral College seats up for grabs of all tossup states, has a smaller-than-average outbreak, which could mean less headwinds for Trump.

The bottom line: The virus isn’t under control almost anywhere in the U.S., and even states like Florida have a relatively large and growing outbreak. Whether it’s at the top of voters’ minds or not, the winner of the election will be dealing with the pandemic and its fallout for a long time.

  • And given the current state of things, that person could be facing a worst-case scenario when they take office at the height of winter.

 

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2 Responses to Good News-Bad News-Wild Conjecture

  1. Dennis Cole says:

    How much damage can an infuriated megalomaniac inflict during “Lame-duck season?” What forms will his vengeance take? Thanks to his recent EO stripping civil rights from so many in the federal workforce, as many as 100,000 or more dedicated public servants, (well, dedicated to doing their jobs, but not to tRump,) could be “You’re fired’ed.” If you’re not on the official Royal Loyalty List, off you go! (Unless the multiple lawsuits get filed and heard in time.)
    And he’ll most certainly shut off the spigot, cutting off funds for “Sanctuary Cities” and Anarchic Localities, leaving them floundering until the Courts can intervene.

    In fact, so many suits have been filed against these malefactors already that it’s estimated that the existing Circuit Courts, and Federal Appeals Courts are so clogged to overflowing, that the backlog will take YEARS to wade through.

    So maybe Job 3 for Joe will be to establish some new courts, and then fill them with OUR kinda people. Should be easy with majorities in both houses, right?

    Liked by 4 people

  2. The early signs of a good outcome are something like one-half of eligible Wisconsin voters have early-voted. Trump’s super spreader events in Wisconsin are beginning to take their toll, and we ought to give thanks to Her Noodliness for Her efforts!

    Liked by 3 people

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