October Surprises, Cont. (Trump-Virus, Part Infinity)

Hat tip: Scissorhead Dennis Cole

And now, an update on the state of play of the Trump-Virus:

Debate rages over whether FDA should use emergency powers to clear a coronavirus vaccine early

“With concerns growing about the politicization of the FDA amid a botched White House rollout of the agency’s emergency authorization of convalescent plasma and sharply criticized comments by FDA Commissioner Stephen Hahn, some scientists and bioethicists are demanding the agency forgo use of its emergency authority for a vaccine. They worry its very flexibility, which gives FDA officials broad latitude, could make it easier for the White House to pressure the agency into clearing an unproven vaccine before Election Day, Nov. 3.”

The latest preview of Prznint Stupid’s October Surprise, the CDC notified health officials in all 50 states to be ready to distribute a vaccine to health-care workers and other high risk groups by early November.

In a strange coinky-dink, the notification was sent out the same day as Stupid’s RNC address, you know, when he said that a vaccine could be in circulation by the end of the year. Subtle, ain’t he?

The only thing that Prznint Stupid cares about is his re-election, so if an untested vaccine is the October surprise, don’t be surprised. But what if, oh, let’s say China gets to a vaccine first, what then? The 4th Reich has already said that the U.S. will not participate in an international coalition to find and distribute a coronavirus vaccine, because Prznint Stupid has left  the WHO to blame China for… his own failures. You try diagramming his motivations, you’ll go insane(r).

Our Pals at Electoral Vote game out some scenarios:

Health and national security officials are already thinking about multiple nightmare scenarios:

Scenario 1: China simply refuses to sell any vaccine to the U.S. under any conditions. Instead, it first immunizes its own population. Then it begins giving it away to countries in Latin America and Africa for free in return for the rights to extract natural resources. How will this play in the U.S.?

Scenario 2: China is willing to sell the U.S. 100 million doses for $10,000 per dose for a total bill of $1 trillion. Congress might balk at the money and Trump would then have to ration the vaccine. Maybe he could say that only people willing to sign a pledge to vote for him get the shot. In any case, there would be huge fights over the scarce doses, and that would rip the country apart. China would laugh all the way to the bank.

Scenario 3: China is willing to sell the U.S. 300 million doses at $100 per dose for total bill of only $30 billion. That would sail through Congress easily. However, there could be a couple of geopolitical strings attached. Part of the deal would be for the U.S. to agree to one or more of these (or similar) conditions:

  • The Senate must approve a binding treaty banning all current and future U.S. tariffs on imports from China
  • China gets to invade and conquer Taiwan by force and the U.S. agrees not to help Taiwan
  • China gets to build military bases on the disputed islands in the South China Sea without U.S. interference
  • Study of Mandarin Chinese becomes mandatory in U.S. high schools

By the time the number of deaths from COVID-19 passes a million, the pressure to give in to China will become unbearable. Or if China really wants to throw its weight around, imagine it announcing (before the election) that as long as Donald Trump is president, the U.S. will not get any vaccine, but if Joe Biden becomes president, it is willing to make a normal commercial deal and sell 300 million doses at $20 each. How might that affect Trump and the voters?

While we are on the subject of vaccines, there is a very real possibility that even if the federal government pays for the purchase of the vaccine, doctors, pharmacies, clinics, and other health-care providers could charge an “administrative fee” that could keep people without health insurance from getting it. That, in turn, would keep the pandemic going even after a vaccine was available from China or some other source.

So we got all that working for us. Cool, cool.

This entry was posted in 2020 Goat Rodeo, Lord Damp Nut, The Russian Usurper, Pandemics, Vaccine. Bookmark the permalink.

12 Responses to October Surprises, Cont. (Trump-Virus, Part Infinity)

  1. spotthedog says:

    “the CDC notified health officials in all 50 states to be ready to distribute a vaccine to health-care workers and other high risk groups by early November.”

    So into preparedness now, nice.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. MDavis says:

    “You try diagramming his motivations, you’ll go insane(r).”
    Too easy:
    Did something look like it went well? “I did that!”
    Did it not go well? (also applies to things that previously looked good) “That was [closest person/org that doesn’t have dirt on him]”
    Will it benefit him? “Let’s do it!!”
    Will it not benefit him? “That’s a stupid far-left idea!”
    Anything that is not covered by this can probably be explained by “Will it benefit Putin? Proceed accordingly” or “Will it benefit McConnell? Proceed accordingly”
    Look for things to move away from LDN’s direct interests and toward his various handlers’ interests as he loses more faculties and becomes easier to manipulate*.
    There will *always be an element of “Me First”, so some completely off topic things will continue to punctuate his decline. They will probably be accompanied by golf outings, every chance he gets to con someone into going with him to those.

    Liked by 3 people

  3. Dennis Cole says:

    Pfizer, Gilead and Moderna are all furiously working on their clinical trials, but most experts agree that the artificially-imposed “roll-out” is just not feasible at this point, and that these announcements are being made to help with LDN’s reelection, who is politicising as many aspects as he can, to attempt to not look as bad this close to the election.

    Judging by the way things are going, it’s looking more and more to me like this administration wants as many people as possible to fall ill and succumb to the Virus, so that they’ll be hailed as heroes, saving the rest of us just in the nick of time, thereby winning the election, using an “October Surprise” on the first of November.

    Liked by 1 person

  4. HarpoSnarx says:

    I guess we’ll be living the opening reel of the start of the real TRUMP! Zombie Apocalypse.

    Liked by 2 people

  5. Big Bad Bald Bastard says:

    There’s also the anti-vaxxer factor. A sizable chunk, mainly Trump supporters, but also WOO-believing lefties (though many of them succumbed to QAnon), of the population will refuse to take any vaccine.

    Liked by 1 person

    • ming says:

      I’m not an anti-vaxxer or skeptic by any means, but I probably won’t be an early an early adopter on this one. The rush to get it out and short-cutting of the usual clinical trials for safety and efficacy are of concern. CDC is another one of the critical federal agencies that have been compromised and politicized by Trump. The CDC is getting its marching orders to approve something for distribution or else. It’s a good thing I’m an introvert and and don’t normally like interacting with others in person, because that is going to continue to be the plan for the foreseeable future.

      Liked by 3 people

      • beckymaenot says:

        I feel the same way Ming- also not anti-vaxxer. The science is being corrupted by the politics. I do not like the way that is working- I mean- the covidiot politicizing this shit is the same asshole who floated the idea that injecting bleach could help… it does not instill confidence.

        Like

  6. sos says:

    LDN explaining this: Study of Mandarin Chinese becomes mandatory in U.S. high schools to Bubba. Lurlleen and young Cletus. LOL

    Like

  7. I’m sure, like everything Trump, they will SAY they bought 300 mil doses, but in fact will only buy 20,000 (or some such inadequate number) and vaccine will be scarce and elusive, like testing, like PPE, like the N95 masks we SHOULD all have. Trump likes it that way, the slow torture, the fear and uncertainty, the drama of death.

    Liked by 1 person

  8. Bruce388 says:

    I’ll only consider getting vaccinated if Clorox and Lysol are involved.

    Liked by 1 person

  9. roket says:

    Sounds to me like the ‘real’ clinical trials begin after the release of the vaccine, so, no thank you to the Trump vaccine.

    Liked by 1 person

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