WASHINGTON — Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., lead the Democratic presidential field, according to the national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll’s opening measure of the 2020 horse race.
If you go to the article, they have a simple graph that ranks the candidates thusly:
- Biden 26%
- Warren 19%
- Harris 13%
- Sanders 13%
- Buttigieg 7%
- Everyone else is 2% or less.
So what can we discern (yeah, I know, we’re ages away from the nomination being in the bag, etc.) ? I mean besides that Biden is still the lead dog? This is what I immediately see:
- Biden really screwed the pooch in that debate to have dropped from a commanding lead to being within striking distance of #2.
- Warren is taking voters away from Sanders, too – they are after the same progressive voters; she’s getting them, he’s losing them.
- Harris has momentum; her attack on Biden really boosted her candidacy and damaged his candidacy.
- Sanders is the only candidate to have dropped in the ranking. He’s gone from #2 to a tie for #3 (or #4, depending), which is significant. America, it seems, only wants one old white man in the race, and at the moment it ain’t him.
As the 2020 Goat Rodeo races ahead, the candidates who get the most media attention are likely to be the candidates who will gain the most traction in the polls. The early wagering is that the eventual nominee will be one of these five, and that the rest of the goats will drop out, probably before the Iowa caucuses.