“…Jones’s re-election chances will be affected by who he draws as his Republican challenger in 2020. Currently, Roy Moore – who Jones defeated in 2017 – is the top choice of GOP voters. Statewide, 27% of Republicans support Moore as the nominee, ahead of three current Congressmen – Mo Brooks at 18%, Bradley Byrne at 13% and Gary Palmer at 11%. Del Marsh (4%) and Tim James (2%) trial the field and a significant 25% are undecided.
“Moore could finish first in the GOP primary, but will likely have a much more difficult time winning a run-off. His current lead is largely a result of his name recognition advantage over others in the field, standing at about 20-points over Brooks, 40-points over Byrne and 50- points over Palmer. Those cushions will evaporate once the campaign begins in earnest.
“Moore also remains a divisive figure among Republican voters, with 34% having a favorable opinion of him but 29% holding an unfavorable view. All of the other potential candidates only have single-digit unfavorable name recognition.”
We’ve said it before: Senator Doug Jones is the luckiest bastard in US politics.
(Care2 has a nice summary of Moore’s career, and asks Alabamians to please not do this.)