The Red Tide Is Sinking GOP Yachts: No Kavanaugh Bounce

Kiss me, you fool!

There’s been a lot of news and conjecture (some of it from here, in fact!) that the fight over the nomination of Justice Gangbang has fired up Possum Hollar! Saturday was a YUGE day for Fox News , which had its most-watched Saturday since the Iraq War, per TVNewser.

So Upchuck Todd’s belief that the Blue Wave is crashing and the Red Tide is rising is correct, amiright?

No, I am not!

Tiger Beat on the Potomac (thanks Charlie!) is strangely assuring:

“Republicans are touting the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh as rocket fuel for the GOP grass roots in next month’s midterm elections, but it’s Democrats who appear more energized by the nomination fight, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.

“Kavanaugh’s confirmation is not popular: In the poll, which was conducted entirely after last week’s Senate vote, 46 percent of voters said the Senate ‘made the wrong decision‘ in approving the controversial judge, while 40 percent said it was right to elevate him to the high court.

“And following the GOP-led effort to push through his nomination, enthusiasm among Democratic voters has surged. More than three-in-four Democrats (77 percent) say they are ‘very motivated’ to turn out and vote in the midterms — more than the 68 percent of Republicans who also say they’re ‘very motivated.’”

CNN tells us…

“The wrenching battle over Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the high court left the public with sharply negative impressions of the new Supreme Court justice and raised questions about his truthfulness, his temperament to serve and whether his partisan views would influence his work on the bench, according to a CNN poll conducted by SSRS in the final days of the fight over his confirmation.

“Overall, 51% in the poll oppose Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court, up from 39% who opposed it in early September, after his initial confirmation hearing but before accusations of sexual misconduct emerged. Support for Kavanaugh’s confirmation has merely inched up, by contrast, from 38% backing him in early September to 41% now.

“Much of that shift has happened among partisans, with both sides pulling further apart on everything Kavanaugh-related. Among Democrats, 63% opposed his nomination in early September, and that has risen to 91% in the new poll. Among Republicans, 74% backed him in September and 89% do so now.”

 

CNN has sumpin’ else to say, too, also:

 “Four weeks out from Election Day, Democrats remain well ahead of Republicans in a generic ballot matchup, with 54% of likely voters saying they support the Democrat in their district and 41% backing a Republican, according to a CNN poll conducted by SSRS. This is the widest margin of support for Democrats in a midterm cycle since 2006, when at this point, the party held a whopping 21-point lead over Republicans among likely voters. …

“This year, Democrats’ enthusiasm about their congressional vote has increased and 62% now say they’re extremely or very enthusiastic to vote, up seven points since September among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents.”

Look, a lot can happen in 4 weeks (just ask Hillary, or Mr. Comey), so this is no sure thing. But it’s been consistent for months and months that the Dims—in spite of themselves—have looked to be taking the House and have a fair shot at the Senate, and this was true before all the SCOTUS stealing, binge-drinking, sex assaulting of the Republicans.

This entry was posted in 2018 Pie Fight, Brett Kavanaugh, supreme court. Bookmark the permalink.

13 Responses to The Red Tide Is Sinking GOP Yachts: No Kavanaugh Bounce

  1. Big Bad Bald Bastard says:

    The new voter registration numbers have to have the GOP apparatchiks shitting themselves.

    Liked by 1 person

    • MDavis says:

      What do they care? They have their tax cuts, they have brought a wrecking ball to many federal agencies and the best case scenario for democracy is the states getting a bit bluer. If it gets too blue for them, then it’s off to the Caymans, as long as they are still above sea level.

      Like

  2. Dennis Cole says:

    And Hair Furor keeps talking about the need for a “Major Event” to reunite us. Hmmmm. You mean like 9/11? The Iraq War? Afghanistan? I’m keeping both eyes on John Bolton, and now that Nikki’s leaving, and the War Hawks want her replaced with a true, patriotic saber-rattler, I anticipate an October Surprise, and would not be surprised one bit if it amounted to a Presidential Directive suspending the upcoming election.
    I’m not wagering any quatloos on ANY such scenario; nope, I’m stuffing as many as I can beneath my mattress, or investing in canned food and ammo.

    Liked by 1 person

    • tengrain says:

      Dennis –

      I hear what you are saying, and I’ve heard it from others whom I respect a lot; I want to assure you that there is no mechanism in the US Constitution to rule an election null and void. All voting and vote counting is given to the states. There is not a uniform standard for voting or elections, it is completely a States Right to determine.

      Even the Civil War didn’t stop elections. And we should note that Chimpy McStagger tried to get this power to suspend elections if a terrorist act occurred during an election and it didn’t even make it to the floor.

      Rgds,

      TG

      Liked by 2 people

      • Honestly, Chimpy didn’t try it with the current crop of raging evil assholes in power.

        Gin up some “China messed with our elections” propaganda, the lame duck GOP-ers could well pass something in a heartbeat nullifying the elections on ‘National Security” grounds.

        Even if we manage to prove it wasn’t Chinese Haxxors (Note: Pay VERY CLOSE ATTENTION to that ongoing series of Bloomberg stories about the compromised servers; I don’t think it’s real so much as a ‘Judith Miller 2.0’ event….I think Bloomberg is being used) they can then turn around and proclaim the Russian interference just as imaginary.

        Win Win.

        Liked by 2 people

      • Dennis Cole says:

        Silly me, I completely forgot that. So I went looking for info on Presidential Directive 51, which supposedly gives Full Authority to an “acting President” to declare Martial Law in the event of a full-scale National Emergency. Or catastrophe. or whatever. The official FEMA page is no help (404 Error, page not found!!!1!) [https://www.fema.gov/pdf/about/org/ncp/nspd_51.pdf], and even the official White House page is not crystal clear on what effect the Directive has on National Elections. [https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2007/05/20070509-12.html]
        Wikipedia tries to explain it, without much success, so I’m still not certain if the paranoia is deserved or not. Consider how many of Hair Furor’s Executive Orders were outright illegal, (tariffs against Canada due to “National Security interests”?) Quasi-legal, extra-legal or just plain dictatorial, and then try to imagine him NOT attempting to quash the election, or manipulate the outcome. “China meddled with the voting, now the results can’t be trusted,” and the complicit Congress doing nothing to refute him, and you can see where I’m going with this, I hope.
        Truly Dark Days for America, and if you were pitching the whole charade as a script for a movie to some producer last year, you would have been laughed outta Hollywood. Nowadays, not so much.

        Liked by 2 people

      • MDavis says:

        I’d reply to your other comment, but the system doesn’t let me…
        As far is this being too charade-y (is not a word) for a movie script, you have hit upon one of the rationales for sci-fi tales. Take stuff to the limits and then go farther. Idiocracy was sci-fi, and now people are quoting it.
        Added note, I’ve been noticing sci-fi going darker, way darker, lately. It kind of reminds me of trying to read a Czech sci-fi in the late 80s; I couldn’t decipher the message, it was that buried. I guess that is one of the results of trying to write cautionary tales when the surveillance is already everywhere.

        Liked by 2 people

  3. Pingback: Did Possum Hollar Put Their Beer Money Where Their Mouths Are? | Mock Paper Scissors

  4. RWW says:

    I live in one of the red districts in the California central valley where the Repuke Congress Scum (Jeff Denham) is about to lose his seat. He’s running desperate smear ads against his Dem opponent (Josh Harder) and all he’s got to say is Nancy Pelosi, Bay Area Liberals, Water Grabbers, blah blah nonsense. No mention of Dear Leader, tax cuts, immigration or anything that is real.

    Liked by 1 person

  5. Scottie says:

    Anyone see today that tRumpsky is trying to get protesting near the white house and the on the national mall made illegal? Plus he wants huge fees and other stuff that violates the first amendment. Hugs

    Liked by 1 person

  6. Osiris Opto says:

    BTW – Rachel Maddow for President.

    Like

  7. ming says:

    Bwaaaahahaha…Chief Justice Roberts orders new investigation into Kavanaugh.
    https://www.rawstory.com/2018/10/chief-justice-john-roberts-orders-new-investigation-brett-kavanaugh-fox-news/

    Stay tuned – Congress treason weasels may be able to confirm him but I don’t think they can protect him if he is what he appears to be. It is going to come out.

    Like

    • tengrain says:

      I read that, too. It’s not clear to me that a lower court has jurisdiction over a high court, let alone SCOTUS. But… whatever it takes.

      Rgds,

      TG

      Like

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