There’s been a lot of news and conjecture (some of it from here, in fact!) that the fight over the nomination of Justice Gangbang has fired up Possum Hollar! Saturday was a YUGE day for Fox News , which had its most-watched Saturday since the Iraq War, per TVNewser.
So Upchuck Todd’s belief that the Blue Wave is crashing and the Red Tide is rising is correct, amiright?
No, I am not!
Tiger Beat on the Potomac (thanks Charlie!) is strangely assuring:
“Republicans are touting the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh as rocket fuel for the GOP grass roots in next month’s midterm elections, but it’s Democrats who appear more energized by the nomination fight, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.
“Kavanaugh’s confirmation is not popular: In the poll, which was conducted entirely after last week’s Senate vote, 46 percent of voters said the Senate ‘made the wrong decision‘ in approving the controversial judge, while 40 percent said it was right to elevate him to the high court.
“And following the GOP-led effort to push through his nomination, enthusiasm among Democratic voters has surged. More than three-in-four Democrats (77 percent) say they are ‘very motivated’ to turn out and vote in the midterms — more than the 68 percent of Republicans who also say they’re ‘very motivated.’”
“The wrenching battle over Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the high court left the public with sharply negative impressions of the new Supreme Court justice and raised questions about his truthfulness, his temperament to serve and whether his partisan views would influence his work on the bench, according to a CNN poll conducted by SSRS in the final days of the fight over his confirmation.
“Overall, 51% in the poll oppose Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court, up from 39% who opposed it in early September, after his initial confirmation hearing but before accusations of sexual misconduct emerged. Support for Kavanaugh’s confirmation has merely inched up, by contrast, from 38% backing him in early September to 41% now.
“Much of that shift has happened among partisans, with both sides pulling further apart on everything Kavanaugh-related. Among Democrats, 63% opposed his nomination in early September, and that has risen to 91% in the new poll. Among Republicans, 74% backed him in September and 89% do so now.”
CNN has sumpin’ else to say, too, also:
“Four weeks out from Election Day, Democrats remain well ahead of Republicans in a generic ballot matchup, with 54% of likely voters saying they support the Democrat in their district and 41% backing a Republican, according to a CNN poll conducted by SSRS. This is the widest margin of support for Democrats in a midterm cycle since 2006, when at this point, the party held a whopping 21-point lead over Republicans among likely voters. …
“This year, Democrats’ enthusiasm about their congressional vote has increased and 62% now say they’re extremely or very enthusiastic to vote, up seven points since September among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents.”
Look, a lot can happen in 4 weeks (just ask Hillary, or Mr. Comey), so this is no sure thing. But it’s been consistent for months and months that the Dims—in spite of themselves—have looked to be taking the House and have a fair shot at the Senate, and this was true before all the SCOTUS stealing, binge-drinking, sex assaulting of the Republicans.