Axios morning email thingie has this tidbit of how The Skirts are kinda angry at men, well, maybe more specifically at Republican men:
“November is coming” — a play on “Winter is coming” from HBO’s “Game of Thrones” — has become a real rallying cry among women.
And women who backed Trump in 2016 (particularly suburban and college-educated women) are now one of the biggest midterm bellwethers.
Neera Tanden, president of the Center for American Progress, told me that each of these successive events has been “more explosive”:
“I believe women, particularly college-educated white women who have already been energized, will have an incandescent rage fueling their highest turnout in any midterm ever.”
Debbie Walsh, director of Rutgers University’s Center for American Women and Politics, tracked each race this year as women set records for the largest number of candidates — then for the most nominees — for House, Senate and governor.
Walsh tells me the increased activism for women (including donors and advocates) began with the election of Trump and “has been sustained and fueled by the policies of the Trump administration.”
But she said she thinks “this has great potential to continue beyond Trump”:
“There is now such a clear sense on the part of women that elections have serious consequences,” with the Kavanaugh confirmation as the clearest example.
And then in another snippet in the email thingie…
This was a striking graphic that David Nather spotted in a recent slide deck by Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas.
It shows how rapidly women have drifted away from the Republican Party since the 2016 election — opening up a lopsided preference for Democrats to control Congress in just the last few months.
The long game: The gender gap is widening. Given that more women vote than men, this is a short- and long-term peril for Republicans.
…and last word for Axios:
Rep. Kevin Cramer, North Dakota’s Republican Senate candidate, criticized the #MeToo movement on Sunday, per the N.Y. Times:
“Invoking his wife, daughters, mother and mother-in-law, [Cramer] said: ‘They cannot understand this movement toward victimization. They are pioneers of the prairie. These are tough people whose grandparents were tough and great-grandparents were tough.'”
Sen. Heidi Heitkamp issued an emotional response: “I think it’s wonderful that his wife has never had an experience, and good for her, and it’s wonderful his mom hasn’t. … My mom did. And I think it affected my mom her whole life. And it didn’t make her less strong.”
Hat tip to CNN’s Sandra Gonzalez for this lead: “Midterms, look what you made Taylor Swift do.” On Sunday evening, through an Instagram post, she endorsed Tennessee Democrats Phil Bredesen and Jim Cooper.
“In the past I’ve been reluctant to publicly voice my political opinions,” Swift said, “but due to several events in my life and in the world in the past two years, I feel very differently about that now.”
“As much as I have in the past and would like to continue voting for women in office, I cannot support Marsha Blackburn. Her voting record in Congress appalls and terrifies me.”
“Please, please educate yourself on the candidates running in your state and vote based on who most closely represents your values.”
This is a VERY BIG DEAL: Swift has 112M followers on Instagram.
Amply be-chinned Mitch McConnell said that all this will die down, and of course Upchuck Todd yesterday saying in effect that the Kavanaugh debacle was good news for John McCain (so to speak) because the GOP base is allegedly riled up. He Both Sides’ed the hell out of it.
Be careful buying into the idea that this fired up the GOP base. Kavanaugh’s support as a nominee is a record low and Anita Hill didn’t fire up the GOP base back in 1992.
Just some things to think about.