Eiron is really doing stellar work:
A source who has seen recent polling, conducted by the Republican National Committee, told me the data show that a majority of Trump voters don’t believe the mountain of evidence that Democrats will win back the House in November.
57% of strong Trump supporters believe it’s unlikely Democrats win the House, according to the source, who wasn’t authorized to share findings from the RNC poll with the media. (The survey of 800 registered voters — 480 via landline calls and 320 via cellphone calls — was conducted from Aug. 29 to Sept. 2 and has a margin of error of 3.5%.)
By contrast, election forecaster Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight website gives Democrats an 83.1% chance of winning control over the House.
wait for it…
Why this matters: A month ago, we reported in “Sneak Peek” that Republican strategists were detecting something interesting — and from their POV, concerning — in focus groups of Trump voters. These voters — who have been listening to the president predicting a “red wave” in November — didn’t believe polls showing Democrats would win the House.
They think it is FAKE NEWS!!1! Wonder how they got that idea? Part of this is pure hubris: Because Possum Hollar only gets their news from one place, they believe the party line that they are in the majority and that a thousand years of Conservative Rule is upon us. Remember Karl Rove sending Megyn Kelly to check on the dweebs in the back room because he couldn’t believe that Mittens was losing? Same story.
Anyway, besides biting the mango-hued shitgibbon on the ass, it has Republicans freaking out. Swan says GOP strategists are seriously worried that voters’ rejection of poll results and media reports will depress turnout and help Democrats.