“The most dangerous outcome for Republicans in Tuesday’s special House election was not the prospect of a Democrat taking over one of their seats.
“It was the shrugging off by voters of the party’s biggest legislative achievement: the tax cut measure that Republicans hoped would be their major campaign message as they head toward a turbulent midterm election.
“Though the popularity of Trump’s tax plan has grown since it was passed last year, it stalled as an election issue in Pennsylvania, leading Republicans to shift away from it late in the campaign in search of another topic to energize supporters of state legislator Rick Saccone.”
If the tax cut is all the Republicants have to run on, they are well and truly screwed.
I don’t know how broadly to take Lamb’s victory. The NYTimes is overhyping it when they proclaim that he has given the Democrats a map for Trump country.
Lamb did take some Republican positions:
- opposed to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi becoming Speaker
- supports gun ownership
- support for the stupid tariffs
But he was a solid Democrat on others:
- opposed to the Billions for Billionaires tax cuts
- pro Obamacare
- pro labor unions
- pro renewable energy, even though he is in coal country
Lamb is classic Dim being squishy on abortion (personally opposed, but wants it to be safe and legal). He’s a Blue-ish Dog in a reddish state. What we do know is that what he did worked there. But I don’t think that would work everywhere, sorry NYTimes, I don’t think that there is a broad lesson.
All congressional districts in all states are different. What works in one will not necessarily work in all. This is really the poli-sci lesson the Dims need to take to heart. As much as I wish all the congressional districts could be won with a platform that would appeal to coastal California, it doesn’t work like that. Heck, what appeals in L.A. wouldn’t work in SF, and vice-versa.