2018 Pie Fight
Unlike most conservative pols, Devin Nunes is not an ideologue, he’s an apparatchik. It’s all about the career. He’s decided for whatever reason he’s hitching his star to Comrade Stupid.
But Nunes’ fate could change in a heart beat. Let’s look at California for a moment.
California uses a jungle primary system in which all candidates in all parties run together and allows all voters to vote at once. The catch is that the top two vote-getters, regardless of party affiliation, go to the general election.
Nunes represents California’s 22nd Congressional District, which is a very solid Republican, central valley Big Ag (read corporate agriculture) area. These Republicans are not going to be New Confederate Types (they need immigrants and they know it). They are not *current* movement conservatives. These are the old school Reagan true believer guys.
In 2016 Nunes won the district by 67.6% over Democrat Louie Campos with 32.4 of the vote. He has always won with 60+ percent.
Nunes has raised $513,364 in the current election cycle. His cash on hand is slightly under $4M Ameros.
So he’s sitting pretty, right? I dunno. California hates Comrade Stupid with a white-hot passion (even the Republicans are not fans), his district is probably super-apprehensive of the whole wall thing, and if this is a wave year that R+8 score is not bulletproof. Roy Moore’s Alabama is R+14.
Nunes’ few townhalls have been pretty shouty. I don’t think he is beloved.
I’m not saying that a Dim could get elected, but with the Jungle Primary, it could end up with Nunes vs. another Republican, perhaps one more standard and not anchored by the mango-hued shitgibbon, and that I think would be really interesting to watch.
What I’m getting at is I think the Memo stunt is going to hurt him more than help him. Only guessing, of course.