Devin Nunes Racing Form

2018 Pie Fight

Comin’ round the bend…

Unlike most conservative pols, Devin Nunes is not an ideologue, he’s an apparatchik. It’s all about the career. He’s decided for whatever reason he’s hitching his star to Comrade Stupid.

But Nunes’ fate could change in a heart beat. Let’s look at California for a moment.

California uses a jungle primary system in which all candidates in all parties run together and allows all voters to vote at once. The catch is that the top two vote-getters, regardless of party affiliation, go to the general election.

Nunes represents California’s 22nd Congressional District, which is a very solid Republican, central valley Big Ag (read corporate agriculture) area. These Republicans are not going to be New Confederate Types (they need immigrants and they know it). They are not *current* movement conservatives. These are the old school Reagan true believer guys.

In 2016 Nunes won the district by 67.6% over Democrat Louie Campos with 32.4 of the vote. He has always won with 60+ percent.

CA-22 Partisan Voter Index score is Republican +8

Nunes has raised $513,364 in the current election cycle. His cash on hand is slightly under $4M Ameros.

So he’s sitting pretty, right? I dunno. California hates Comrade Stupid with a white-hot passion (even the Republicans are not fans), his district is probably super-apprehensive of the whole wall thing, and if this is a wave year that R+8 score is not bulletproof. Roy Moore’s Alabama is R+14.

Nunes’ few townhalls have been pretty shouty. I don’t think he is beloved.

I’m not saying that a Dim could get elected, but with the Jungle Primary, it could end up with Nunes vs. another Republican, perhaps one more standard and not anchored by the mango-hued shitgibbon, and that I think would be really interesting to watch.

What I’m getting at is I think the Memo stunt is going to hurt him more than help him. Only guessing, of course.

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3 Responses to Devin Nunes Racing Form

  1. Big Bad Bald Bastard says:

    The key here is to make all Republican candidates hemorrhage money and to play the ‘don’t you growers want labor for the harvest?’ card in the general.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. paleotectonics says:

    Nino’s current cash on hand may not mean anything.

    We strongly suspect he’s in rubles up to his miniature naughty bits, and that as part of the transition team, he has knowledge of some buried bodies, even if he can’t grasp the concept of ‘bury’ or define ‘body’ without half a day’s wiki-ing and a solid spel-czech program.

    Are some of the money people going to go all out to hold him in that seat? I mean, they can Chiguhr him now or later on their own timetable, but they can’t let him loose in public or the criminal justice system. He conceivably saw too much.

    Of course, no one shall weep for the former Acting Secretary of the Bakersfield 4-H (Probationary) Program.

    Liked by 1 person

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