Bursting Bubbles, Part 2

The Republican Party Takes Flight

Mike Allen writing at the Axios morning email thingie reinforces what we said earlier: the Russian Usurper’s base is sticking with him through thick and thin (haha, they are all thick and none of ’em are thin, but I digress):

President Trump may wind up paying a huge price for the Comey debacle. But so far, it’s playing out a bit like the “Access Hollywood” tapes where Trump bragged to Billy Bush about groping women: Washington freaks and Trump Country yawns.

Instead of getting caught boasting of groping a woman’s genitals, Trump kneecapped the FBI’s top man. This time, the stakes are even higher: Trump has raised the possibility of secret taping in the People’s House. And by his own account, he crossed traditional lines of independence between the White House and the FBI.

Out in the country, though, the parallels in the public reaction are striking:

  • Trump stands accused of doing something that would sink most politicians, or at least elicit remorse.
  • Instead of lying low or backing off, Trump escalates.
  • His staff panics but sticks with him.
  • Democrats feel certain he’s toast.
  • All of us in the media spring into 24/7 outrage.
  • And like Trump himself, the firing is broadly unpopular: In Gallup, 46% disapprove, while 39% approve.

But just like with the “Access Hollywood” tape, the vast majority of Republicans — and especially the Trump base — seem unfazed. For all the media/Democrat/Twitter histrionics, consider:

  • The Gallup daily tracking poll shows Trump’s approval has held steady (40% the day of the firing, 41% two days later).
  • Polls show two countries: In NBC News/Survey Monkey, 79% of Rs thought Trump acted appropriately, and 13% of Dems.
  • Most elected Republicans are backing Trump or staying silent. AP reports that at the Republican National Committee’s spring meeting out in Coronado, Calif., party leaders defended the president’s actions and insisted that they would have little political impact.
  • The Comey topic is hot in traditional media, but cold on Facebook: Seven other events of the Trump presidency trended harder.

Be smart: Don’t underestimate how much wiggle room Trump bought himself with his voters and conservatives by putting Gorsuch on the Supreme Court, enforcing the red line in Syria, and muscling a partial repeal of Obamacare through the House. He has a long leash with Trump Country.

The Republicans would be nuts to try to reign rein him in. The base would eat them alive.

Again, from Mike Allen’s morning email thingie:

Elected Republican officials are publicly defending Trump but privately are dumbfounded, disgusted and demoralized by this turn of events.

We haven’t had a single conversation with a top Republican that doesn’t reflect this. The worries are manifold:

  • This kills momentum on legislating, and unifies Democrats in opposition to everything they want to do.
  • This makes it easier for Democrats to recruit quality candidates and raise money for the off-year elections.
  • It sours swing voters.
  • It puts them on the defensive at home. They want to talk tax reform and deregulation — not secret tapes and Russian intrigue.
  • But mainly it reinforces their greatest fear: Trump will never change. They keep praying he’ll discipline himself enough to get some big things done. Yet they brace for more of this.

Sound smart — CNN’s Brian Stelter: “[T]he White House doesn’t seem to be providing any spokespeople for the Sunday shows. ‘Fox News Sunday’ host Chris Wallace said: ‘We can’t even reach anybody’ at the White House — ‘they’re not available, they’re not answering the phone.”

As long as the Republicans control all the levers of power, there will be no impeachment or other action that will reign rein in this fool or remove him from office. Figuratively (if not literally) the lunatics have taken over the asylum.

I’m not a PoliSci, and I have no forecasting abilities. The Russian Usurper is the monster that the Republicans have been creating all these years, and he has escaped into the wild. He’s destroying the brand, and their base of meatheads is cheering him on. He’s going to be in place for the duration, and even if the House/Senate turned blue in 2018 (and it won’t, or won’t turn blue enough) the only chance to remove him will be in 2020.

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10 Responses to Bursting Bubbles, Part 2

  1. 9thousandfeet says:

    He’s going to be in place for the duration, and even if the House/Senate turned blue in 2018 (and it won’t, or won’t turn blue enough) the only chance to remove him will be in 2020.

    My instincts are running along the same lines.
    That suggests to me that we’re going to have to figure out something to change that, because if the fascisti are allowed to bump along at anything like the pace they’re moving now until 2020, it will be too late.

    By that time they will have set things up so that any election result they find disagreeable will simply be declared null and void and a “state of emergency” will be invoked (assuming that doesn’t happen earlier, which is not a safe assumption at all).

    Media headlines with then be along the lines of “The State of Emergency; How Long should it Last?”

    No, this is beyond phone calls to your representatives now. I’m not saying stop, just that it won’t be nearly enough.
    Trump’s ongoing task is to assure his GOP enablers that they won’t suffer any career consequences from continuing to support him.
    By 2020 he can have it set up so they won’t, regardless of how people vote.

    Like

  2. sleeve98 says:

    I wouldn’t have bitched, but “reign” should have been “rein” *twice.* Technology is wonderful, but spell-check is not your friend.

    https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/rein

    Like

    • tengrain says:

      Thanks Sleeve98 for your edit! I love a good correction, and always tip!

      Rgds,

      TG

      Like

      • sleeve98 says:

        Respect, because I fully expected my remark would be trolled, or taken as. I know we’re only spitballing in this joint, but I’d have your arguments strengthened and made more credible by good form.

        Great, now I sound like James Hook.

        Like

      • tengrain says:

        Sleeve98 –

        It takes a village (you guys are the villagers and I’m the idiot); it always works out in the end.

        Rgds,

        TG

        Like

    • Papa Wheelie says:

      Put correctly, spell check is your own worst enema.

      Like

  3. MDavis says:

    Any thoughts on mixing calls? For example, anywhere near Yucca Mountain – is there an opportunity to point out that Trump wants to poison that area and it will, eventually, bite any Trump supporters to allow it? The cave in at Hanford may be an opportunity to – I don’t know – put some attention on consequences rather than rewards.
    I have heard a couple of the lifetime locals around here actually saying something against the administration for the first time around this issue.

    Like

    • tengrain says:

      MDavis –

      I checked the map by congressional district to see who is the rep, and sure enough it was a Tea Party Republican, and it is the district next to cathy mcmorris rodgers; I think that Trump could fly overhead in his Trump jet with both of them onboard and they could nuke the place (drop the bombs by hand, thumbs up grins and all), and voters in both those districts would still support him and vote back into Congress those two lying idiots.

      “Fuck, yeah!, he gave it to us good, dinnit he?!”

      Rgds,

      TG

      Like

      • MDavis says:

        I was thinking of using Hanford’s woes to rally folks in Nevada (Yucca Mountain) and maybe congressional districts around there, like in CA and AZ – maybe even UT. “Look what happened at Hanford! You know the Feds are lying about that cave-in, do you really want them to do that to us, by opening Yucca Mountain up to that sort of disaster?” Add in knowledge that Hanford has a long history of covering up radiation leaks and we might be able to slip a wedge between Trump and right wing voters. Surely there are other issues – although that whole ‘we’re losing health care because you voted for TrumpCare – you don’t love us after all!’ thing that has been showing up at town halls is already in the air. You know that every red county will have at least one issue that is harmful to R voters and also voted for by R pols. The big trick will be getting enough R voters to see the connect to turn the tide in favor of survival of democracy – and maybe humanity. Since education has been gutted, it isn’t so much a matter of civics as of marketing.

        Like

      • tengrain says:

        MDavis –

        It’s tribal.

        I’m not sanguine that you could convince any Republican to look at (a disaster of any sort) anywhere in California and draw sympathy. “If they were good conservatives they would have long ago left that liberal hellscape.”

        Rgds,

        TG

        Like

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