And here we go again: the 3peat on ZombieCare is here.
Here’s the politics of it (warning: hot take) that I see:
- Tables have turned: Obama lost the Dim-controlled Congress with an easily demagogued health-care law. Now Trump is doing the same thing.
- Republicans are voting on a bill not knowing how many people it covers and how much it costs. Uh-Oh.
- Death Panels: Pre-existing conditions are the new Social Security third rail. Democrats will argue this bill ends protections for your mom’s breast cancer care. (They will be right, too.)
Let’s examine what we actually know.
WASHINGTON ― After weeks of false starts and negotiations, House Republicans are set to vote on their health care plan Thursday, without a review by the Congressional Budget Office or a clear sense that they have enough votes to pass the legislation.
“We have the votes,” Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) told reporters following a meeting with leadership. And with those late switches, McCarthy may finally be right.
Sick burn: Finally.
If they don’t already have the votes, Republicans are clearly close to enough to go to the floor. There are roughly 16 Republicans who are hard noes, another few who seem to be leaning in opposition, and an additional couple dozen who haven’t unequivocally stated where they stand.
All it will take is 21 Nays. By the end of the article HuffPo list all the players and where they stand:
No (16)Mark Amodei (Nev.)Andy Biggs (Ariz.)Barbara Comstock (Va.)Ryan Costello (Pa.)Charlie Dent (Pa.)Dan Donovan (N.Y.)Brian Fitzpatrick (Pa.)Jaime Herrera Beutler (Wash.)Walter Jones (N.C.)John Katko (N.Y.)Leonard Lance (N.J.)Frank LoBiondo (N.J.)Thomas Massie (Ky.)Patrick Meehan (Pa.)Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (Fla.)Chris Smith (N.J.)Lean No (3)Mario Diaz-Balart (Fla.)David Joyce (Ohio)Michael Turner (Ohio)Undecided (14)Justin Amash (Mich.)Paul Cook (Calif.)Carlos Curbelo (Fla.)John Faso (N.Y.)Darrell Issa (Calif.)Steve Knight (Calif.)Erik Paulsen (Minn.)Bruce Poliquin (Maine)Peter Roskam (Ill.)Ed Royce (Calif.)Elise Stefanik (N.Y.)Rob Wittman (Va.)Kevin Yoder (Kan.)Don Young (Alaska)Lean Yes (17)Bradley Byrne (Ala.)Mike Coffman (Colo.)Rick Crawford (Ark.)Jeff Denham (Calif.)Tom Emmer (Minn.)Jeff Fortenberry (Neb.)Rodney Frelinghuysen (N.J.)Garret Graves (La.)Peter King (N.Y.)Adam Kinzinger (Ill.)David McKinley (W.V.)Dave Reichert (Wash.)Hal Rogers (Ky.)Scott Tipton (Colo.)Glenn Thompson (Pa.)David Valadao (Calif.)David Young (Iowa)Lee Zeldin (N.Y.)
As with last time, if it looks like it is going down, expect a pile-on of no votes and for ZEGS to pull it from the floor. They vote with a herd mentality and no one will want to be stuck defending a loser.